SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
51.91% ( 0.08) | 22.33% ( -0.04) | 25.76% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.13) | 38.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( 0.14) | 60.51% ( -0.14) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.08) | 14.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( 0.14) | 43.26% ( -0.13) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.05) | 63.25% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.1% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.76% |
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