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RM
Club Friendlies
Jul 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
NRG Stadium
MU

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Man Utd

Bellingham (6'), Joselu (89')
Camavinga (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (42'), Fernandes (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 0-2 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Real Madrid 2-2 Manchester United

Thursday's result is of little importance to either team, but Ten Hag and Ancelotti are still determined to see a positive performance from their players against a fellow top European side as they edge closer to the new campaign. While Man United have shown their resilience at the back so far this summer, we can see a new-look Real Madrid finding the net in an entertaining score draw at NRG Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawManchester United
51.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 22.33% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.54% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.135 0.13)38.24% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (0.142 0.14)60.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.077999999999989 0.08)14.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.143 0.14)43.26% (-0.135 -0.13)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.047000000000004 0.05)63.25% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 51.91%
    Manchester United 25.76%
    Draw 22.33%
Real MadridDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 25.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Man Utd (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Leeds
Wednesday, July 12 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Fulham
Sunday, May 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Chelsea
Thursday, May 25 at 8pm in Premier League


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