Arsenal were far from their best at the London Stadium and have fared worse against bottom-half sides than their top-half rivals in recent weeks, but facing the Premier League's worst defensive side rocked by an injury to one of their stalwarts spells success for the Gunners.
Marsch's side may fancy their chances against an Arsenal backline that is not watertight anymore, but the chance to potentially move five points clear of Spurs - unless something dramatic happens at Anfield - is one that the Gunners should not pass up.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
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