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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
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Newcastle
2 - 0
Arsenal

White (55' og.), Guimaraes (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

White (8'), Nketiah (46'), Xhaka (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Arsenal

It has been over three years since Newcastle breached Arsenal's defence, but the Gunners are leaking goals at an alarming rate, and Allan Saint-Maximin in particular will fancy his chances against the Gunners' full-backs. When Arsenal are in a bad moment, they are in a very bad moment, but Newcastle are still prone to the odd lacklustre defensive showing and could shake hands on an entertaining draw with the Gunners - not that it will do much good for the visitors' Champions League hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
22.9% (3.697 3.7) 23.59% (1.384 1.38) 53.5% (-5.082 -5.08)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.994 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.353 -1.35)46.8% (1.353 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.28 -1.28)69.06% (1.277 1.28)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (2.895 2.9)34.69% (-2.896 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (2.948 2.95)71.42% (-2.949 -2.95)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-2.239 -2.24)17.43% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-4.061 -4.06)47.87% (4.06 4.06)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 22.9%
    Arsenal 53.5%
    Draw 23.59%
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.814 0.81)
2-1 @ 5.92% (0.768 0.77)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.655 0.66)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.242 0.24)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.304 0.3)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.9%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.66 0.66)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.336 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.317 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.903 -0.9)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.543 -0.54)
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.995 -1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.451 -0.45)
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.654 -0.65)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 53.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Newcastle
Sunday, May 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Leicester
Sunday, April 17 at 2.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Wolves
Friday, April 8 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-0 Arsenal
Thursday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 1 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Man Utd
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-4 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League


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