Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
22.9% ( 3.7) | 23.59% ( 1.38) | 53.5% ( -5.08) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% ( -1.35) | 46.8% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -1.28) | 69.06% ( 1.28) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.31% ( 2.9) | 34.69% ( -2.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.58% ( 2.95) | 71.42% ( -2.95) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% ( -2.24) | 17.43% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.13% ( -4.06) | 47.87% ( 4.06) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.9% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.9) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -1) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.45) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.65) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.5% |
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