SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
44.18% ( 2.79) | 25.9% ( -0.16) | 29.92% ( -2.62) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.26) | 51.3% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( -0.22) | 73.13% ( 0.23) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 1.26) | 23.13% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( 1.81) | 56.99% ( -1.81) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -1.93) | 31.43% ( 1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -2.29) | 67.8% ( 2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.43)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.92% |
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