SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Quevilly |
77.56% ( -0.77) | 13.51% ( 0.36) | 8.93% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.37) | 27.78% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.46) | 48.46% ( 0.46) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.22% ( -0.2) | 5.78% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.74% ( -0.59) | 22.25% ( 0.6) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.13% ( 0.58) | 40.87% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.56% ( 0.52) | 77.44% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Quevilly |
| 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 8.16% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.94% Total : 77.56% | 1-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 13.51% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 8.93% |
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