SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
85.25% ( 0.65) | 10.2% ( -0.34) | 4.55% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 42.61% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.11) | 30.06% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.73% ( 0.14) | 51.27% ( -0.14) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( 0.13) | 4.89% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.34% ( 0.4) | 19.65% ( -0.41) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.8% ( -1.13) | 55.19% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12% ( -0.68) | 88% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
| 3-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.39% Total : 85.25% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.48% Total : 10.2% | 0-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.5% Total : 4.55% |
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