SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 6.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
81.7% ( 0.05) | 11.47% ( -0.03) | 6.83% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.04) | 25.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.99% ( 0.06) | 45% ( -0.06) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.42% ( 0.01) | 4.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.32% ( 0.05) | 18.68% ( -0.05) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% ( -0.02) | 43.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% ( -0.02) | 79.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 3-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.6% 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 5.11% Total : 81.7% | 1-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.47% | 1-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.83% |
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