Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-3 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
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