Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
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