Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Port Vale |
37.49% ( 0.02) | 25.42% | 37.1% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.01) | 47.56% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( 0.01) | 69.77% ( 0) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( 0.01) | 24.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( 0.01) | 59.48% ( -0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( -0) | 25.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% ( -0) | 59.78% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.1% |
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