Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chateauroux win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chateauroux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.