Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Trofense win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
