SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.09% ( 0.12) | 22.46% ( 0.23) | 21.45% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( -1.49) | 43.53% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -1.47) | 65.93% ( 1.48) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( -0.47) | 15.36% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( -0.89) | 44.13% ( 0.89) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -1.17) | 34.21% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -1.27) | 70.91% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.45% |
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