SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
24.47% ( 0.21) | 23.72% ( 0.25) | 51.82% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.89) | 45.77% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -0.85) | 68.09% ( 0.85) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.3) | 32.75% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% ( -0.34) | 69.31% ( 0.34) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.5) | 17.67% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% ( -0.88) | 48.29% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.81% |
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