SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | York City |
30.9% ( -0.09) | 25.4% ( 0.11) | 43.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( -0.51) | 48.79% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( -0.47) | 70.89% ( 0.47) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.31) | 29.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.52% ( -0.39) | 65.47% ( 0.39) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.22) | 22.28% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( -0.34) | 55.73% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.7% |
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