SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
47.63% ( 0.28) | 25.09% ( 0.06) | 27.28% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0.48) | 49.39% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.43) | 71.44% ( 0.43) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.08) | 20.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.12) | 53.4% ( 0.12) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.51) | 32.41% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.07% ( -0.58) | 68.93% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.28% |
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