Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Telford United | Draw | Tamworth |
32.32% ( -1.01) | 26.47% ( 0.15) | 41.2% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( -0.84) | 52.79% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( -0.73) | 74.42% ( 0.73) |
AFC Telford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% ( -1.09) | 30.52% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% ( -1.31) | 66.74% ( 1.31) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( 0.07) | 25.27% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( 0.1) | 60.03% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Telford United | Draw | Tamworth |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.32% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: