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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
NRG Stadium
QN

Haiti
2 - 1
Qatar

Nazon (45+1' pen.), Pierrot (90+7')
Picault (22'), Sainte (48'), Junior (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abdel Razaq (20')
Salman (3'), Queiroz (4'), Al-Rawi (46'), Al-Abdullah (69'), Ali (90+11'), Assadalla (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Haiti 3-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Haiti 1-2 Qatar

The Haitians have plenty of quality individuals, but they have not played together as long as the Qatari squad, who have some equally potent attacking players to choose from, and we believe the Maroons' continuity will get them through this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.

Result
HaitiDrawQatar
38.74% (0.518 0.52) 24.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 36.35% (-0.473 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.185 0.19)45.27% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.177 0.18)67.61% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.351 0.35)23.17% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (0.512 0.51)57.06% (-0.512 -0.51)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.172 -0.17)24.44% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.245 -0.24)58.88% (0.243 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 38.74%
    Qatar 36.35%
    Draw 24.9%
HaitiDrawQatar
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Haiti 3-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Montserrat 0-4 Haiti
Saturday, March 25 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 6-0 Guyana
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 2-6 Haiti
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 3-2 Montserrat
Tuesday, June 7 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 0-0 Haiti
Saturday, June 4 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Albania
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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