SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.73%) and 3-0 (12.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.26%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos |
77.17% ( -0.36) | 16.4% ( 0.32) | 6.43% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 32.39% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( -1.16) | 51.28% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( -1.03) | 73.11% ( 1.02) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( -0.42) | 11.45% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.91) | 36.27% ( 0.91) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.57% ( -0.62) | 63.42% ( 0.62) |
