Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
