Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
