Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
