SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Genk had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Genk |
48.95% ( 0.01) | 22.74% | 28.31% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.02) | 38.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.02) | 60.37% ( 0.02) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0) | 15.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -0.01) | 45.08% ( 0) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.02) | 25.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.03) | 60.79% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.31% |
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