Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.