SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Mozambique |
60.6% ( -0.06) | 24.46% ( 0.02) | 14.94% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.75% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.01) | 60.13% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( 0.01) | 80.34% ( -0) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.02) | 19.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.16% ( -0.03) | 51.84% ( 0.04) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.07) | 51.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.2% ( 0.04) | 85.8% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 16.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.59% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 14.94% |
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