SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.39%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Madagascar |
68.96% ( -0.01) | 21.04% ( -0.01) | 10% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 34.63% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( 0.08) | 57.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( 0.06) | 78.6% ( -0.06) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0.02) | 15.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.71% ( 0.04) | 45.29% ( -0.05) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.22% ( 0.08) | 58.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.98% ( 0.04) | 90.01% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 17.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 15.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 68.95% | 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 10% |
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