SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Australia had a probability of 6.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Australia |
79.11% ( 0.96) | 14.38% ( -0.6) | 6.51% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 38.92% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( 1.28) | 42.26% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( 1.27) | 64.66% ( -1.27) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.35% ( 0.53) | 8.65% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.17% ( 1.3) | 29.83% ( -1.3) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.6% ( -0.2) | 57.4% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.74% ( -0.11) | 89.26% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Australia |
| 2-0 @ 14.87% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 79.1% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.38% | 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.88% Total : 6.51% |
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