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AN
Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Workers' Stadium
AN

Argentina
2 - 0
Australia

Messi (2'), Pezzella (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Atkinson (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 7-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 29 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 1-2 Ecuador
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Argentina 3-0 Australia

Considering the strength in depth within Argentina's squad and the lack of international experience within Australia's youthful group, the reigning world champions will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top on Thursday, with Messi and co expected to have plenty of joy in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Australia had a probability of 6.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ArgentinaDrawAustralia
79.11% (0.962 0.96) 14.38% (-0.596 -0.6) 6.51% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 38.92% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (1.279 1.28)42.26% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (1.269 1.27)64.66% (-1.272 -1.27)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (0.532 0.53)8.65% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.17% (1.295 1.3)29.83% (-1.297 -1.3)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.6% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)57.4% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.74% (-0.113 -0.11)89.26% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 79.1%
    Australia 6.51%
    Draw 14.38%
ArgentinaDrawAustralia
2-0 @ 14.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-0 @ 12.13% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 7.42% (0.311 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12% (0.149 0.15)
5-0 @ 3.63% (0.238 0.24)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 79.1%
1-1 @ 6.75% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.38%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 6.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 7-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 29 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-2 Ecuador
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 3-1 Ecuador
Friday, March 24 at 9am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-0 Denmark
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Australia
Saturday, November 26 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: France 4-1 Australia
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in World Cup


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