Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for France had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%).