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World Cup | Final
Dec 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
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Argentina
3 - 3
France

Argentina win 4-2 on penalties
Messi (23' pen., 108'), di Maria (36')
Fernandez (45+7'), Acuna (90+8'), Paredes (114'), Montiel (116'), Martinez (126')
FT
(aet)
Mbappe (80' pen., 81', 118' pen.)
Rabiot (55'), Thuram (87'), Giroud (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for France had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%).

Result
ArgentinaDrawFrance
37.13% (-0.944 -0.94) 27.94% (1.345 1.35) 34.93% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-4.24 -4.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (-5.306 -5.31)58.05% (5.31 5.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-4.352 -4.35)78.73% (4.356 4.36)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-3.113 -3.11)30.06% (3.116 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-3.906 -3.91)66.19% (3.91 3.91)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-2.881 -2.88)31.45% (2.884 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-3.47 -3.47)67.83% (3.473 3.47)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 37.13%
    France 34.93%
    Draw 27.93%
ArgentinaDrawFrance
1-0 @ 11.36% (1.27 1.27)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.44 -0.44)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 9.45% (1.756 1.76)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.626 -0.63)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.93% (1.286 1.29)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.408 -0.41)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Poland 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: England 1-2 France
Saturday, December 10 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-1 Denmark
Saturday, November 26 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 4-1 Australia
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in World Cup
Build-up


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