SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%).
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Argentina |
35.68% ( -4.03) | 27.22% ( 0.83) | 37.09% ( 3.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( -2.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( -3.17) | 55.28% ( 3.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( -2.67) | 76.5% ( 2.67) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( -3.83) | 29.59% ( 3.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -4.93) | 65.62% ( 4.93) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.42) | 28.73% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 0.52) | 64.56% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.66)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.99)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 1.35) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.91)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.09% |
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