Ecuador are likely to be the more motivated team after losing the first match on Friday, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a victory as a result.
Australia rode their luck at times during the initial encounter, with Sanchez hoping to turn his team's dominant possession into a higher amount of clear cut chances.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
