SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Argentina |
19.58% ( 0.01) | 22.27% ( 0) | 58.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.02) | 45.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.02) | 67.54% ( 0.02) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% ( -0.01) | 37.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% ( -0) | 73.82% ( 0) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( -0.01) | 15.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% ( -0.02) | 43.92% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.14% |
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