We said: Brazil 1-1 Argentina
While Argentina may have the advantage of their English-based players, compared to the Selecao's long list of absentees, it will still be a major task to win on their travels.
We see the two sides playing out a draw that suits both, as Brazil will be keen to return the favour following the Copa America, while ensuring their robust system limits an exciting Argentina side's chances.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.82%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%).