SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Botswana |
60.65% ( 0.06) | 25.04% ( -0.03) | 14.31% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.05) | 62.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( 0.03) | 82.32% ( -0.03) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.04) | 20.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.07) | 53.51% ( -0.07) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.75% ( -0.02) | 54.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.57% ( -0.01) | 87.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 17.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 60.64% | 0-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.3% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.31% |
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