SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (13.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Libya |
35.1% ( -0.48) | 30.99% ( 0.44) | 33.9% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.58% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.91% ( -1.29) | 68.09% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14% ( -0.86) | 85.99% ( 0.86) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -1.04) | 36.66% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -1.06) | 73.44% ( 1.06) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( -0.7) | 37.5% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( -0.7) | 74.28% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.09% | 0-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.64) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.99% | 0-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.75% Total : 33.9% |
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