SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.38%) and 3-0 (13.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.45%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Guinea |
79.12% ( -0.73) | 15.53% ( 0.28) | 5.35% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 29.17% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( 0.64) | 51.91% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( 0.55) | 73.66% ( -0.55) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.03) | 11.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.53% ( -0.06) | 35.47% ( 0.06) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.81% ( 1.9) | 67.19% ( -1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.09% ( 0.73) | 93.91% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Guinea |
| 2-0 @ 18.01% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 16.38% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.25% Total : 79.11% | 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.19) 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.53% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.09% Total : 5.35% |
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