Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-0 (8.18%).
