Buoyed by their achievements at the World Cup, Morocco will fancy their chances of frustrating Brazil in front of a passionate home crowd in Tangier.
Given Brazil's strength in depth, it will be difficult for the hosts to claim a famous win over Selecao, but the Atlas Lions have more than enough talent – and spirit – to earn a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Morocco win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
