SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Egypt in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Egypt |
54.31% ( 0.01) | 28.24% ( 0) | 17.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.98% ( -0.01) | 68.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.05% ( -0.01) | 85.95% ( 0.01) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0) | 25.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( -0.01) | 60.8% ( 0.01) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.02) | 53.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( -0.01) | 86.69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 18.55% 2-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 54.29% | 0-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.45% |
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