SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 92.19%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 1.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.16%) and 2-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.79%), while for a Burnei win it was 0-1 (0.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Burnei |
92.19% ( 0.15) | 5.86% ( -0.11) | 1.94% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 35.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.37) | 22.65% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.5) | 41.79% ( -0.5) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.33% ( 0.07) | 2.66% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.68% ( 0.25) | 12.32% ( -0.25) |
| Burnei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.02) | 63.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.7% ( 0.01) | 92.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Burnei |
| 3-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)8-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 92.18% | 1-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 5.86% | Other @ 1.94% Total : 1.94% |
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