SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Canada |
47.47% ( -0.17) | 25.48% ( 0.03) | 27.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -0.02) | 51.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.02) | 73.02% ( 0.02) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.09) | 21.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.13) | 54.65% ( 0.13) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.1) | 33.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( 0.11) | 70.18% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.04% |
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