SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Chile | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Japan | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 4 | Ecuador | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Brazil |
30.13% ( 0.04) | 24.82% ( -0.03) | 45.05% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( 0.14) | 46.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( 0.14) | 68.89% ( -0.13) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.1) | 28.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.12) | 64.78% ( -0.12) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.06) | 20.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 0.09) | 53.38% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.13% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.05% |
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