SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 3.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.19%) and 1-0 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Djibouti |
84.89% ( -0) | 11.14% ( 0) | 3.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 33.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61% ( 0) | 38.99% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% ( 0) | 61.31% ( -0) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.35% ( -0) | 6.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.33% ( -0) | 24.67% ( 0) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.68% ( 0.01) | 64.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.29% ( 0) | 92.7% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Djibouti |
| 2-0 @ 15.71% 3-0 @ 14.19% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 11.59% 4-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)7-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 84.88% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 11.14% | 0-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.95% Total : 3.96% |
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