SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 74.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.36%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | South Sudan |
74.01% ( 0.09) | 17.57% ( 0.14) | 8.41% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 37.93% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -1.33) | 49.36% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -1.21) | 71.4% ( 1.21) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( -0.35) | 11.79% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63% ( -0.75) | 36.99% ( 0.75) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43% ( -1.41) | 57% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.96% ( -0.81) | 89.04% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | South Sudan |
| 2-0 @ 15.35% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.86% Total : 74% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 8.41% |
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