SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Guyana |
66.67% ( 22.71) | 20.54% ( -1.93) | 12.8% ( -20.78) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( -22.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( -16.02) | 49.95% ( 16.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( -16.15) | 71.93% ( 16.15) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( 1.99) | 14.11% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( 3.77) | 41.73% ( -3.77) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.21% ( -28.12) | 48.79% ( 28.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.19% ( -30.54) | 83.81% ( 30.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Guyana |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( 7.4) 2-0 @ 13.2% ( 7.65)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 8.62% ( 5.24)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.86)4-0 @ 4.22% ( 2.68)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.6)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -1.98)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 1.09)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.83)Other @ 2.32% Total : 66.66% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 3.55)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -3.5)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -4.08)0-2 @ 1.77% ( -2.36)Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.8% |
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