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African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
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Libya
3 - 1
Ethiopia

Abu Arqoub (44'), Abbasi (50'), Saltou (78')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Panomo (39' pen.)
Panomo (59')
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Libya and Ethiopia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Libya had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
LibyaDrawEthiopia
34.19% (-1.939 -1.94) 28.45% (-0.164 -0.16) 37.35% (2.105 2.11)
Both teams to score 46.37% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.03% (0.52 0.52)59.97% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (0.393 0.39)80.21% (-0.39 -0.39)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-1.004 -1)32.92% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-1.133 -1.13)69.49% (1.135 1.13)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (1.603 1.6)30.88% (-1.6 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (1.843 1.84)67.17% (-1.839 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Libya 34.19%
    Ethiopia 37.35%
    Draw 28.45%
LibyaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.486 -0.49)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.16% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.313 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.465 0.47)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.248 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.293 0.29)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 0-0 Uganda
Wednesday, September 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-0 Botswana
Wednesday, June 1 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-1 Ethiopia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-1 Lesotho
Tuesday, May 31 at 8am in International Friendlies


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