SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | England | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Germany |
40.01% ( -0) | 23.03% ( 0.03) | 36.96% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.17% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.14) | 36.05% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.16) | 58.16% ( 0.16) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( -0.06) | 18.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( -0.11) | 49.84% ( 0.11) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.07) | 19.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% ( -0.12) | 52.13% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.96% |
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