SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Belgium | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Poland | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 4 | Wales | 6 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Belgium | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Poland | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 4 | Wales | 6 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Belgium |
45.45% ( 0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.3) | 29.18% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( -1.93) | 49.41% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( -1.76) | 71.45% ( 1.76) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.37) | 21.73% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.56) | 54.9% ( 0.56) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -1.88) | 30.98% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -2.26) | 67.29% ( 2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.18% |
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