SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Colombia |
55.38% ( 11.42) | 23.45% ( 0.99) | 21.17% ( -12.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -14.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( -14.21) | 48.12% ( 14.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( -14.51) | 70.29% ( 14.5) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -1.13) | 17.23% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% ( -2.03) | 47.52% ( 2.02) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( -16.41) | 37.08% ( 16.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% ( -20.6) | 73.86% ( 20.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 5.15) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 4.33)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1.05)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 2.41)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -1.35)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 1)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.66)Other @ 3.75% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 1.56) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 3.06)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -2.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -1.26)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 1.09) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -2.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.99)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -2.14)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -2.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -1.13)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.17% |
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