SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hong Kong in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Mauritius |
66.33% ( -1.41) | 20.96% ( 0.51) | 12.71% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% ( -0.04) | 51.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.03) | 73.58% ( 0.03) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.19% ( -0.46) | 14.81% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.9% ( -0.88) | 43.1% ( 0.87) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.91% ( 1.51) | 50.09% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.28% ( 1.02) | 84.72% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Mauritius |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.42)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 66.32% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.71% |
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