SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Hong Kong |
36.99% ( -1.79) | 27.91% ( 0.27) | 35.1% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.86) | 57.93% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0.69) | 78.63% ( 0.68) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -1.49) | 30.08% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -1.82) | 66.22% ( 1.82) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.56) | 31.27% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( 0.64) | 67.63% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.09% |
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