SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Turkmenistan win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Hong Kong |
32.39% ( 0) | 22.69% ( 0) | 44.93% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.15% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0) | 57.6% ( 0.01) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0) | 22.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0) | 55.45% ( 0) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( -0) | 16.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54% ( -0) | 46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.62% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.66% Total : 44.93% |
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